9-26 and 9-27 Week 2 Picks and Method All Fights This Weekend

Birchall correction — 10/9/2026: Method probabilities updated at the user’s direction: KO 44.1%; decision 43.9%. KO is the method pick.




These are my picks and method picks for this weekend’s fights with recorded market odds.  They're not necessarily my bets.


Fight Win %   DEC KO/TKO Most Likely Outcome


Lewis Richardson vs Ivan Trofimovich   96% / 3%   41% / 2%   55% / 1%   Richardson KO/TKO 55%

Fred Pullen vs Leonardo Faretina   91% / 7%   54% / 6%   37% / 1%   Pullen DEC 54%

Alex MacMillan vs Guillaume Azagier   91% / 7%   57% / 6%   34% / 1%   MacMillan DEC 57%

Nelson Birchall vs Lewis Morris 88% / 10%   43.9% / 8%   44.1% / 2%   Birchall KO 44.1% (decision 43.9%)

Lasha Guruli vs Hughie Wilson 86% / 12%   63% / 10%   23% / 2%   Guruli DEC 63%

Ryusei Matsumoto vs Russell Acosta 84% / 14%   57% / 12%   27% / 2%   Matsumoto DEC 57%

Thanongsak Simsri vs Mark Vicelles 83% / 15%   55% / 12%   28% / 3%   Simsri DEC 55%

Sultan Zaurbek vs Jackson Jon England 82% / 16%   61% / 13%   21% / 3%   Zaurbek DEC 61%

Luke McCormack vs Kay Prospere   82% / 16%   51% / 14%   31% / 2%   McCormack DEC 51%

Bradley Goldsmith vs Amir Abubaker 76% / 22%   51% / 18%   25% / 4%   Goldsmith DEC 51%

Gerome Warburton vs Nathan Heaney   72% / 26%   57% / 22%   15% / 4%   Warburton DEC 57%

Johnny Fisher vs Michael Pirotton   72% / 26%   22% / 13%   50% / 13%   Fisher KO/TKO 50%

Alexis De La Cerda vs Cain Lewis   69% / 29%   51% / 23%   18% / 6%   De La Cerda DEC 51%

Takuma Inoue vs Tenshin Nasukawa 69% / 29%   55% / 24%   14% / 5%   Inoue DEC 55%

Tomoya Tsuboi vs Ricardo Malajika   67% / 31%   55% / 25%   12% / 6%   Tsuboi DEC 55%

Rogelio Romero vs Aurel Ignat 65% / 33%   29% / 22%   36% / 11%   Romero KO/TKO 36%

Liam Davies vs Nathaniel Collins   65% / 33%   46% / 26%   19% / 7%   Davies DEC 46%

Cesar Mateo Tapia vs Leo Ruiz 61% / 37%   44% / 29%   17% / 8%   Tapia DEC 44%

Lee Cutler vs Louis Greene 60% / 38%   46% / 28%   14% / 10%   Cutler DEC 46%

Craig Richards vs Radivoje Kalajdzic   55% / 43%   39% / 30%   16% / 13%   Richards DEC 39%

Ryosuke Nishida vs Sam Goodman   52% / 46%   42% / 38%   10% / 8%   Nishida DEC 42%

Popular posts from this blog

Picks & Bets — October 8–10, 2026

Straight-up and method picks for every fight. Gold boxes highlight official bets. 10/8/2026 OFFICIAL BET Osleys Iglesias vs. Oliver Zaren Straight-Up Pick: Iglesias — 96% Method Pick: KO/TKO — 82% Moneyline: Fair −2400 | Market −1600 OFFICIAL BET — KO/TKO/DQ, ROUNDS 1–6 Osleys Iglesias over Zaren — KO/TKO/DQ, rounds 1–6 +150 · 12% of bankroll OFFICIAL BET — PARLAY KO/TKO/DQ LEG Osleys Iglesias over Zaren — KO/TKO/DQ anytime 4-leg parlay +278 · 2% of bankroll total Other legs on the same ticket: Leila Beaudoin over Alfonzo — ML Dzmitry Asanau over Santana — KO/TKO/DQ anytime Imam Khataev over McCrory — KO/TKO/DQ anytime Wilkens Mathieu vs. Vladimir Shishkin Straight-Up Pick: Mathieu — 70% Method Pick: Decision — 43% Moneyline: Fair −233 | Market −1350 OFFICIAL BET Leila Beaudoin vs. Brisa Abigail Rosario Alfonzo Straight-Up Pick: Beaudoin — 90% Method Pick: Decision — 71.10% Moneyline: Fair −900 | Market −1000 OFFICIAL BET — PARLAY ML LEG Leila Beaudoin over Alfonzo — ML 4-leg ...
Read more

BETTING RECORD — SINCE 9/19/2026

Updated Mr. Magic Record Open Official Bet — October 24 OFFICIAL BET #22 — MONEYLINE Emanuel Navarrete over O’Shaquie Foster — ML +155 Stake: 4% of bankroll — $165.33 Bankroll used: $4,133.15 Edge: +9.78 percentage points · EV: +24.45% Potential profit: $256.26 Total return if won: $421.59 Status: OPEN · Fight date: October 24, 2026 Recorded October 19, 2026 Settled bankroll: $4,133.15 · Open bets: $165.33 (1 wager) · Available: $3,967.82 Settled record: 8–12 · Net profit/loss: −$866.85. Open wagers are excluded from settled results and ROI. View Navarrete’s official bet and both fighters’ percentages October 17 update — Figueroa–Kameda cancelled: Official wager #19, Figueroa ML −450, is VOID / NO ACTION in the site ledger. The $79.77 stake is released with $0 profit; excluded from the 8–12 record and settled-stake ROI. Settled and available bankroll: $4,133.15. No open official wagers. Cancellation report . Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimo...
Read more

Week 2 Results As Of 9-27-26

Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry result . Fights without recorded market odds are excluded from picks and prediction records. Probability reconciliation: Wager estimates now match the original published method forecasts where recoverable. Richards anytime KO: 16%; Fisher anytime KO: 50%; Romero anytime KO: 36%. Exact Fisher/Romero round-range estimates are not established and are not replaced with their anytime probabilities. Method correction — 10/9/2026: At the user’s direction, Birchall is KO 44.1% and decision 43.9%. KO is the method pick, graded WIN; straight-up remains WIN. Week 2 methods: 12–13 (48.0%); through Week 2: 18–21 (46.2%). WEEK 2 RESULTS — SEPTEMBER 26–27, 2026 MR. MAGIC'S BOXING PICKS MrMagicsBoxingPicks.blogspot.com WEEK 2 DASHBOARD STRAIGHT-UP PICKS Record: 19-5-1 ...
Read more