October 2nd Additional Fights Handicap

10/2/2026 — Smith-John


Vale Sports Arena — Cardiff, Wales


Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO %


Harvey Smith Record: 7-1 • 1 KO 57% -133 +142 +15.7% +37.9% 53% 4%

Joshua John Record: 12-2 • 0 KOs 43% +133 -192 -22.8% -34.6% 42% 1%



Smith has the cleaner boxing profile in a fight likely to reach the cards. +142 offers strong value against our -133 fair line.


10/3/2026 — Biacho-Navarro


Pabellón Rey Felipe VI — Boadilla del Monte, Madrid, Spain


Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO %


Damian Biacho Record: 22-1 • 7 KOs 52% -108 +132 +8.9% +20.6% 46% 6%

Jose Luis Navarro Jr. Record: 17-2-1 • 12 KOs 48% +108 -180 -16.3% -25.3% 29% 19%



Biacho has the steadier decision profile, while Navarro carries more power. We lean Biacho, making +132 attractive versus our -108 fair line.


10/3/2026 — Russell Regalado-Calixto


Auditorio INAM — Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico


Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO %


Jose Luis Russell Regalado Record: 19-1 • 13 KOs 56% -127 +106 +7.5% +15.4% 35% 21%

Rene Calixto Record: 24-2-1 • 10 KOs 44% +127 -138 -14.0% -24.1% 38% 6%



Russell has the stronger finishing upside and gets our slight edge overall. +106 is value against our -127 fair price.

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