JUSIYAH SHIRLEY VS KEVIN CASTILLO

10/2/2026
JUSIYAH SHIRLEY
VS
KEVIN CASTILLO
Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO %
Jusiyah Shirley
Record: 9-1 • 7 KOs 		75% -300 -1500 -18.8% -20.0% 43% 32%
Kevin Castillo
Record: 6-2-1 • 0 KOs 		25% +300 +750 +13.2% +112.5% 16% 9%

Shirley has the stronger offensive profile and is our clear straight-up pick. The price is favorable on Castillo, but the fighter is not; our model still expects Shirley to win, so no bet on Castillo.

Straight Up Pick - Shirley 75%
Most Likely Method - Decision 43%

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