KLINTON BAPTISTE VS AARON BOWEN

10/3/2026
KLINTON BAPTISTE
VS
AARON BOWEN
Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO %
Klinton Baptiste
Record: 5-0 • 0 KOs 		16% +525 +450 -2.2% -12.0% 15% 1%
Aaron Bowen
Record: 8-1 • 6 KOs 		84% -525 -800 -4.9% -5.5% 25% 59%

Bowen has the significant power advantage, while Baptiste's main path is a decision. Bowen is our clear pick, but -800 is more expensive than our -525 fair price.

Straight Up Pick - Bowen 84%
Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 59%

Popular posts from this blog

Picks & Bets — October 8–10, 2026

Straight-up and method picks for every fight. Gold boxes highlight official bets. 10/8/2026 OFFICIAL BET Osleys Iglesias vs. Oliver Zaren Straight-Up Pick: Iglesias — 96% Method Pick: KO/TKO — 82% Moneyline: Fair −2400 | Market −1600 OFFICIAL BET — KO/TKO/DQ, ROUNDS 1–6 Osleys Iglesias over Zaren — KO/TKO/DQ, rounds 1–6 +150 · 12% of bankroll OFFICIAL BET — PARLAY KO/TKO/DQ LEG Osleys Iglesias over Zaren — KO/TKO/DQ anytime 4-leg parlay +278 · 2% of bankroll total Other legs on the same ticket: Leila Beaudoin over Alfonzo — ML Dzmitry Asanau over Santana — KO/TKO/DQ anytime Imam Khataev over McCrory — KO/TKO/DQ anytime Wilkens Mathieu vs. Vladimir Shishkin Straight-Up Pick: Mathieu — 70% Method Pick: Decision — 43% Moneyline: Fair −233 | Market −1350 OFFICIAL BET Leila Beaudoin vs. Brisa Abigail Rosario Alfonzo Straight-Up Pick: Beaudoin — 90% Method Pick: Decision — 71.10% Moneyline: Fair −900 | Market −1000 OFFICIAL BET — PARLAY ML LEG Leila Beaudoin over Alfonzo — ML 4-leg ...
Read more

BETTING RECORD — SINCE 9/19/2026

Updated Mr. Magic Record Open Official Bet — October 24 OFFICIAL BET #22 — MONEYLINE Emanuel Navarrete over O’Shaquie Foster — ML +155 Stake: 4% of bankroll — $165.33 Bankroll used: $4,133.15 Edge: +9.78 percentage points · EV: +24.45% Potential profit: $256.26 Total return if won: $421.59 Status: OPEN · Fight date: October 24, 2026 Recorded October 19, 2026 Settled bankroll: $4,133.15 · Open bets: $165.33 (1 wager) · Available: $3,967.82 Settled record: 8–12 · Net profit/loss: −$866.85. Open wagers are excluded from settled results and ROI. View Navarrete’s official bet and both fighters’ percentages October 17 update — Figueroa–Kameda cancelled: Official wager #19, Figueroa ML −450, is VOID / NO ACTION in the site ledger. The $79.77 stake is released with $0 profit; excluded from the 8–12 record and settled-stake ROI. Settled and available bankroll: $4,133.15. No open official wagers. Cancellation report . Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimo...
Read more

Week 2 Results As Of 9-27-26

Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry result . Fights without recorded market odds are excluded from picks and prediction records. Probability reconciliation: Wager estimates now match the original published method forecasts where recoverable. Richards anytime KO: 16%; Fisher anytime KO: 50%; Romero anytime KO: 36%. Exact Fisher/Romero round-range estimates are not established and are not replaced with their anytime probabilities. Method correction — 10/9/2026: At the user’s direction, Birchall is KO 44.1% and decision 43.9%. KO is the method pick, graded WIN; straight-up remains WIN. Week 2 methods: 12–13 (48.0%); through Week 2: 18–21 (46.2%). WEEK 2 RESULTS — SEPTEMBER 26–27, 2026 MR. MAGIC'S BOXING PICKS MrMagicsBoxingPicks.blogspot.com WEEK 2 DASHBOARD STRAIGHT-UP PICKS Record: 19-5-1 ...
Read more