Free Boxing Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions | Mr. Magic

Three-fight KO parlay | 10/2–10/3/2026 Stake: $700 Combined odds: +1397 Potential profit: $9,779 | Total return: $10,479 Ben Whittaker vs Conor Wallace Whittaker by KO, rounds 1–6: +145 We really like Ben Whittaker to do the business against Conor Wallace, with speed, sharpness, and accurate counters giving him the advantage. Our read is that Wallace’s aggressive approach will give Whittaker opportunities to land cleanly rather than chase a defensive opponent. Whittaker enters this matchup after stopping his previous four opponents, adding weight to our stoppage expectation. We favor rounds 3–6, while the selected 1–6 market also covers an earlier finish. Omari Jones vs Alan Sanchez Jones by KO, rounds 1–4: +220 Omari Jones enters at 7–0 with four knockouts, facing the experienced Alan Sanchez, listed at 24–7–1 with ten knockouts. Nicklaus Flaz stopped Sanchez in round four, providing a clear example of how sustained offense can break him down. Our assessment is that Jones has the spee...

10/2/2026 — Smith-John Vale Sports Arena — Cardiff, Wales Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Harvey Smith Record: 7-1 • 1 KO 57% -133 +142 +15.7% +37.9% 53% 4% Joshua John Record: 12-2 • 0 KOs 43% +133 -192 -22.8% -34.6% 42% 1% Smith has the cleaner boxing profile in a fight likely to reach the cards. +142 offers strong value against our -133 fair line. 10/3/2026 — Biacho-Navarro Pabellón Rey Felipe VI — Boadilla del Monte, Madrid, Spain Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Damian Biacho Record: 22-1 • 7 KOs 52% -108 +132 +8.9% +20.6% 46% 6% Jose Luis Navarro Jr. Record: 17-2-1 • 12 KOs 48% +108 -180 -16.3% -25.3% 29% 19% Biacho has the steadier decision profile, while Navarro carries more power. We lean Biacho, making +132 attractive versus our -108 fair line. 10/3/2026 — Russell Regalado-Calixto Auditorio INAM — Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jose Luis Russell Regal...

10/3/2026 BEN WHITTAKER VS CONOR WALLACE Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Ben Whittaker Record: 12-0-1 • 9 KOs 89% -809 -1000 -1.9% -2.1% 32% 57% Conor Wallace Record: 17-1 • 12 KOs 11% +809 +550 -4.4% -28.5% 4% 7% Whittaker has the speed, skill and defensive advantage, while Wallace brings legitimate power and pressure. Whittaker's most likely individual outcome is KO/TKO at 57%. Our fair moneyline is -809, so -1000 is slightly too expensive. Wallace at +550 is also well below our +809 fair price, leaving neither moneyline attractive. Straight Up Pick - Whittaker 89% Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 57%

10/2/2026 OMARI JONES VS ALAN SANCHEZ Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Omari Jones Record: 7-0 • 4 KOs 94% -1567 -3500 -3.2% -3.3% 26% 68% Alan Sanchez Record: 24-7-1 • 10 KOs 6% +1567 +1100 -2.3% -28.0% 4% 2% Jones has the major overall talent advantage, with KO/TKO his most likely method. Jones is our clear pick, but neither moneyline offers value at the available prices. Straight Up Pick - Jones 94% Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 68%

10/3/2026 JOSE LUIS RUSSELL REGALADO VS RENE CALIXTO Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jose Luis Russell Regalado Record: 19-1 • 13 KOs 56% -127 Market Odds Unavailable — — 35% 21% Rene Calixto Record: 24-2-1 • 10 KOs 44% +127 Market Odds Unavailable — — 38% 6% Russell Regalado has the youth, southpaw style and stronger finishing power, while Calixto brings more high-level experience and proven durability. We give Russell Regalado the narrow overall edge at 56%, but with no verified market price there is currently no value determination. Straight Up Pick - Russell Regalado 56% Most Likely Method - Decision 35%

10/3/2026 IBRAHEEM SULAAIMAAN VS SONNY HARDY Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Ibraheem Sulaimaan Record: 11-0 • 5 KOs 91% -1011 -1200 -1.3% -1.4% 54% 37% Sonny Hardy Record: 12-0 • 5 KOs 9% +1011 +600 -5.3% -37.0% 5% 4% Both are unbeaten, but Sulaimaan has the stronger overall boxing profile. He is our clear pick, although -1200 is slightly more expensive than our -1011 fair price. Straight Up Pick - Sulaimaan 91% Most Likely Method - Decision 54%

10/3/2026 BILAL FAWAZ VS EITHAN JAMES Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Bilal Fawaz Record: 12-1-1 • 4 KOs 85% -567 -800 -3.9% -4.4% 66% 19% Eithan James Record: 17-2 • 0 KOs 15% +567 +450 -3.2% -17.5% 15% 0% Fawaz has the stronger offensive arsenal, with decision his most likely result. Fawaz is our pick, but neither current moneyline gives us value. Straight Up Pick - Fawaz 85% Most Likely Method - Decision 66%

10/3/2026 SEAN BRUCE VS HAMZA UDDIN Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Sean Bruce Record: 8-2 • 0 KOs 14% +614 +550 -1.4% -9.0% 13% 1% Hamza Uddin Record: 6-0 • 3 KOs 86% -614 -1000 -4.9% -5.4% 49% 37% Uddin has more ways to win, while Bruce brings almost no projected stoppage threat. Uddin is our pick, but -1000 is too expensive compared with our -614 fair line. Straight Up Pick - Uddin 86% Most Likely Method - Decision 49%

10/3/2026 KLINTON BAPTISTE VS AARON BOWEN Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Klinton Baptiste Record: 5-0 • 0 KOs 16% +525 +450 -2.2% -12.0% 15% 1% Aaron Bowen Record: 8-1 • 6 KOs 84% -525 -800 -4.9% -5.5% 25% 59% Bowen has the significant power advantage, while Baptiste's main path is a decision. Bowen is our clear pick, but -800 is more expensive than our -525 fair price. Straight Up Pick - Bowen 84% Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 59%

10/3/2026 PAIGE MURNEY VS LINZI BUCZYNSKYJ Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Paige Murney Record: 4-0 • 0 KOs 89% -809 -1600 -5.1% -5.4% 88% 1% Linzi Buczynskyj Record: 6-12 • 0 KOs 11% +809 +750 -0.8% -6.5% 11% 0% Neither fighter has a stoppage win, making Murney by decision the overwhelming projection. Murney is our pick, but neither side offers value at these moneylines. Straight Up Pick - Murney 89% Most Likely Method - Decision 88%

10/2/2026 JORDAN OROZCO HERNANDEZ VS YUSNIEL ABRAHANTE Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jordan Orozco Hernandez Record: 17-0 • 17 KOs 90% -900 -1600 -4.1% -4.4% 10% 80% Yusniel Abrahante Record: 8-2 • 1 KO 10% +900 +750 -1.8% -15.0% 9% 1% Orozco Hernandez's 17 stoppages in 17 wins make KO/TKO the clear projection. We strongly favor him to win, but -1600 is shorter than our -900 fair line. Straight Up Pick - Orozco Hernandez 90% Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 80%

10/2/2026 RONNY ALVAREZ NOA VS NARCISO CARMONA Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Ronny Alvarez Noa Record: 7-0 • 6 KOs 92% -1150 -5000 -6.0% -6.2% 17% 75% Narciso Carmona Record: 12-2-1 • 7 KOs 8% +1150 +1300 +0.9% +12.0% 7% 1% Alvarez Noa's power makes the stoppage our dominant outcome at 75%. The price is favorable on Carmona, but the fighter is not; Alvarez Noa remains our strong pick and Carmona is a no bet. Straight Up Pick - Alvarez Noa 92% Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 75%

10/2/2026 JUSIYAH SHIRLEY VS KEVIN CASTILLO Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jusiyah Shirley Record: 9-1 • 7 KOs 75% -300 -1500 -18.8% -20.0% 43% 32% Kevin Castillo Record: 6-2-1 • 0 KOs 25% +300 +750 +13.2% +112.5% 16% 9% Shirley has the stronger offensive profile and is our clear straight-up pick. The price is favorable on Castillo, but the fighter is not; our model still expects Shirley to win, so no bet on Castillo. Straight Up Pick - Shirley 75% Most Likely Method - Decision 43%

10/2/2026 DIEGO YANIEL ORTIZ NIEVES VS FIDENCIO HERNANDEZ Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves Record: 4-0 • 4 KOs 55% -122 +100 +5.0% +10.0% 20% 35% Fidencio Hernandez Record: 4-0 • 3 KOs 45% +122 -138 -13.0% -22.4% 18% 27% Both are unbeaten punchers, but Ortiz Nieves gets the narrow overall edge. He is our pick and +100 is favorable against our -122 fair line. Straight Up Pick - Ortiz Nieves 55% Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 35%

10/2/2026 ANGEL HERNANDEZ III VS DULIO ARATH JARAMILLO BARBOZA Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Angel Hernandez III Record: 6-0 • 6 KOs 90% -900 -10000 -9.0% -9.1% 49% 41% Dulio Arath Jaramillo Barboza Record: 1-2 • 1 KO 10% +900 +1700 +4.4% +80.0% 6% 4% Hernandez has the stronger overall profile, record and power. The price is favorable on Jaramillo, but the fighter is not; Hernandez remains our pick, so no bet on the underdog. Straight Up Pick - Hernandez III 90% Most Likely Method - Decision 49%

Oct. 2nd-3rd Picks Our early picks for the October 2–3 boxing slate are below, with model win percentages, fair odds, market comparisons and most likely methods. 10/2/2026 HERNANDEZ VS JARAMILLO Fighter | Win % | Fair Odds | Market Odds | Edge | EV | Decision % | KO/TKO % Angel Hernandez III Record: 6-0 • 6 KOs 90% | -900 | -10000 | -9.0% | -9.1% | 49% | 41% Dulio Arath Jaramillo Barboza Record: 1-2 • 1 KO 10% | +900 | +1700 | +4.4% | +80.0% | 6% | 4% Hernandez has the stronger overall profile, record and power. The price is favorable on Jaramillo, but the fighter is not; Hernandez remains our pick, so no bet on the underdog. Straight Up Pick - Hernandez III 90% Most Likely Method - Decision 49% 10/2/2026 ORTIZ NIEVES VS HERNANDEZ Fighter | Win % | Fair Odds | Market Odds | Edge | EV | Decision % | KO/TKO % Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves Record: 4-0 • 4 KOs 55% | -122 | +100 | +5.0% | +10.0% | 20% | 35% Fidencio Hernandez Record: 4-0 • 3 KOs 45% | +122 | -138 | -13.0% | -22.4% | 18% | 27% B...

1. OFFICIAL BETS Probability reconciliation: Richards anytime KO uses the original published 16% method forecast. Fisher anytime KO was 50%; Romero anytime KO was 36%. Conflicting later estimates have been removed. Exact round-range probabilities for Fisher and Romero were not established, so their fair odds and EV are omitted. Actual stakes, odds and results are preserved. Overall Betting Performance Official Bets 5–4 55.6% Total Wagered $3,769.20 Total Returned $5,552.34 Overall Profit +$1,783.14 Betting ROI +47.3% Current Bankroll $6,783.14 WEEK 1 — SEPTEMBER 19, 2026 Pat Brown vs John Hedges Bet Pat Brown KO/TKO/DQ Rounds 1–6 Odds +260 Model 62% Fair Odds -163 EV +123.2% Bankroll Bet 10% — $500 Result W — +$1,300 Return $1,800 Pat Brown vs John Hedges Bet Under 7.5 Rounds Odds +137 Model 64....

Updated Mr. Magic Record Open Official Bet — October 24 OFFICIAL BET #22 — MONEYLINE Emanuel Navarrete over O’Shaquie Foster — ML +155 Stake: 4% of bankroll — $165.33 Bankroll used: $4,133.15 Edge: +9.78 percentage points · EV: +24.45% Potential profit: $256.26 Total return if won: $421.59 Status: OPEN · Fight date: October 24, 2026 Recorded October 19, 2026 Settled bankroll: $4,133.15 · Open bets: $165.33 (1 wager) · Available: $3,967.82 Settled record: 8–12 · Net profit/loss: −$866.85. Open wagers are excluded from settled results and ROI. View Navarrete’s official bet and both fighters’ percentages October 17 update — Figueroa–Kameda cancelled: Official wager #19, Figueroa ML −450, is VOID / NO ACTION in the site ledger. The $79.77 stake is released with $0 profit; excluded from the 8–12 record and settled-stake ROI. Settled and available bankroll: $4,133.15. No open official wagers. Cancellation report . Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimo...

Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry result . Records as of September 27, 2026. Fights without recorded market odds are excluded from picks and prediction records. WEEK 2 RESULTS — SEPTEMBER 26–27, 2026 THIS WEEK vs. SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 Category   This Week   Since Sept. 19 Official Bets   2–4 — 33.3% 5–4 — 55.6% Profit/Loss   Loss: -$351.86 Profit: +$1,783.14 Straight-Up Picks 19–5–1 — 76.0% 31–7–1 — 79.5% Method Picks   12–13 — 48.0%   18–21 — 46.2% Bankroll   $6,783.14   Starting Bankroll: $5,000 --- WEEK 2 OFFICIAL BETS WINS Rogelio Romero vs. Aurel Ignat Rogelio Romero KO + Under 6.5 WIN Profit: +$1,425.00 8-Fight Moneyline Parlay WIN Profit: +$77.14 --- LOSSES Craig Richards vs. Radivoje Kalajdzic Craig Richards ML LOSS Loss: -$570.00 Craig Richards vs. Radivoje Kalajdzic Craig Richards...

Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry result . Fights without recorded market odds are excluded from picks and prediction records. Probability reconciliation: Wager estimates now match the original published method forecasts where recoverable. Richards anytime KO: 16%; Fisher anytime KO: 50%; Romero anytime KO: 36%. Exact Fisher/Romero round-range estimates are not established and are not replaced with their anytime probabilities. Method correction — 10/9/2026: At the user’s direction, Birchall is KO 44.1% and decision 43.9%. KO is the method pick, graded WIN; straight-up remains WIN. Week 2 methods: 12–13 (48.0%); through Week 2: 18–21 (46.2%). WEEK 2 RESULTS — SEPTEMBER 26–27, 2026 MR. MAGIC'S BOXING PICKS MrMagicsBoxingPicks.blogspot.com WEEK 2 DASHBOARD STRAIGHT-UP PICKS Record: 19-5-1 ...